西双版纳奘寺学童现象及其教育法规因应

奘寺学童现象是云南傣族聚居区独特的教育现象。奘寺学童现象对教育法规因应提出的要求是统合校内外的教育资源,确立少数民族现代化进程中的文化主体地位,并谨慎处理教育平等、国家文化与地方文化、外来文化与本土文化的关系。     

Forecasting High‐Frequency Risk Measures

This article proposes intraday high‐frequency risk (HFR) measures for market risk in the case of irregularly spaced high‐frequency data. In this context, we distinguish three concepts of value‐at‐risk (VaR): the total VaR, the marginal (or per‐time‐unit) VaR and the instantaneous VaR. Since the market risk is obviously related to the duration between two consecutive trades, these measures are completed with a duration risk measure, i.e. the time‐at‐risk (TaR). We propose a forecasting procedure for VaR and TaR for each trade or other market microstructure event. Subsequently, we perform a backtesting procedure specifically designed to assess the validity of the VaR and TaR forecasts on irregularly spaced data. The performance of the HFR measure is illustrated in an empirical application for two stocks (Bank of America and Microsoft) and an exchange‐traded fund based on Standard & Poor's 500 index. We show that the intraday HFR forecasts capture accurately the volatility and duration dynamics for these three assets. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

安徽省部分城市敬老院体育发展现状及对策分析

通过对安徽省部分城市敬老院调查,研究城市敬老院体育发展状况,并提出对策.运用文献资料法、问卷调查法、数理统计法研究安徽省城市敬老院体育发展状况.结果表明安徽省城市敬老院老人参加体育活动动机多样,但以增进健康、抵抗疾病、改善情绪和消磨时间为主.安徽省城市敬老院老人参加文体活动形式多元化,但老年女性参加体育活动的比例高于老年男性.不知道如何锻炼和没有合适的场地和设施是阻碍安徽省敬老院老人参加体育活动的主要原因.因此应加强健康教育,提高敬老院老人体育锻炼健身意识,增加敬老院社会体育指导员数量,加大敬老院体育活动场地和适合老年人健身活动的器材设施.     

我国国有商业银行表外业务存在问题及解决对策

该文通过阐述我国国有商业银行表外业务发展中的情况和特点,根据其出现的品种单一、业务量少、区域发展不均衡和管理不规范等问题,相应地提出了加快金融创新、提高对其业务重要性的认识和业务营销水平、加强银行间区域合作和完善相关规章制度建设等合理的对策,以期能对我国金融业的发展提供些许有益的参考。     

Comparison of Achievable Rates of OFDM and Single Carrier Communication Systems

This paper presents a theoretical comparison of a single carrier system and a multi-carrier system through an analysis of the achievable rate under frequency selective fading with channel state information at the receiver. A scheme was designed to compare the achievable rates of a single carrier system and an Or-thogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (OFDM) system. A thorough theoretical analysis of the two-path channel was conducted, and simulations were also used to analyze practical stochastic channels. Analysis and simulation results show that the achievable rates of the two approaches are comparable when the channel is flat fading. However, when the channel is frequency selective fading, the single carrier system outperforms the OFDM system. The achievable rate of the OFDM system is about 10% lower than that of the single carrier system at higher SNRs.     

应用统计外推求解近海风机面外叶根部弯矩最大值

根据IEC61400-3要求，为了确立统计外推程序以预测近海风机的长期载荷，选用NREL 5MW单桩式近海风机和浮式近海风机进行研究.在风机时域仿真中，对FAST软件进行编译，将塔筒载荷计算程序嵌入FAST，弥补了现有软件的不足.对于仿真得到的短期载荷，分别应用全局最大值法和分块最大值法拟合Gumbel分布来预测面外叶根部弯矩的最大值，并进行对比.根据对比结果，进一步提出了分块最大值法的最优分块数，并通过最大门槛值法进行验证，从而为近海风机的极限载荷计算提供参考.
     

25Hz微电子交流计数站内电码化调试存在问题分析

分析了微电子交流计数站内电码化在车出清区段后不能自动复原的问题,探讨了解决问题的方案,并提出了在受端发码时受端发码电源的调试范围。     

Dynamic density forecasts for multivariate asset returns

We propose a simple and flexible framework for forecasting the joint density of asset returns. The multinormal distribution is augmented with a polynomial in (time‐varying) non‐central co‐moments of assets. We estimate the coefficients of the polynomial via the method of moments for a carefully selected set of co‐moments. In an extensive empirical study, we compare the proposed model with a range of other models widely used in the literature. Employing a recently proposed as well as standard techniques to evaluate multivariate forecasts, we conclude that the augmented joint density provides highly accurate forecasts of the ‘negative tail’ of the joint distribution. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

公路建设项目合同管理现状及对策措施

根据目前公路建设合同管理的现状,作者在分析公路建设合同管理工作中的不足及成因的基础上,提出了加强公路建设合同管理的对策和措施。     

新农村建设视野下河南农村体育发展现状及对策研究

以河南省富有代表性的12个地区的1800名农民为研究对象,采用查阅文献、问卷调查和统计分析等方法对当前河南省农民健身现状、健康状况以及发展农村体育农民最需要解决的问题进行调查分析,并就河南省社会主义新农村建设进程中如何发展农村体育提出相应对策．